MLS Saturday – DC United vs Columbus Crew

Some of the stars might be called away for international duty, but there’s still plenty of action to look forward to in this weekend’s MLS slate. Columbus Crew gets set to host DC United in a match that should have more than a few goals.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.

Odds

Spread

• Columbus to win: 1.60
• Draw: 4.22
• DC United to win: 5.28

Total

• OVER 3: 2.04
• UNDER 3: 1.86

What to Watch For

Potential on the Draw: Odds — at 4.22 — indicate there’s about a 23.7 percent chance of a draw. Accuscore sims have a draw in about 19 percent of matches, suggesting no value on the draw.

The average score in sims is 2.49 – 1.05, in favor of Columbus. 

Key Trends: Both teams have scored in 83 percent of DC’s last six at home, with the OVER (2.5) hitting in 67 percent of those matches. We should expect plenty of scoring considering Columbus matches have seen both teams score in six of their last eight on the road.

Head-to-Head: Columbus Crew won the last match — September 2017 — 2-0, and won the previous one — March 2017 — 2-0 as well.

Projected Leaders

Darren Mattocks is projected to lead the way for DC United, averaging 0.68 shots on goal per sim and 0.39 goals per sim. He has about a 32 percent chance of netting the ball according to our sims.

Zardes dominates the sims for Columbus, with close to a 70 percent chance of scoring. He averages over 1 goal per sim (1.16).

Analyst’s Pick

Columbus. 

The odds — at 1.60 — indicate Crew have about a 62 percent chance of winning. They win over 67 percent of AccuScore simulations, suggesting some value on picking Columbus — despite them being the favorites. Columbus winning is a three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend.

Category: Football