Monday game preview – Chelsea – West Brom

February 13, 2018 7:21 am

West Brom hit the road for a match with Chelsea Monday night as Antonio Conte and the Blues look to snap a two-game losing streak. Chelsea haven’t lost three straight matches in nine years. Chelsea enter the match following a 4-1 loss on the road at Watford last week.

West Brom are bottom of the league with 12 games remaining — watch for them to play with some desperation.

These two sides last met in November of 2017 when Chelsea won 4-0.

Key Betting Trends

West Brom and Chelsea have met 10 times on a Monday night, with the Baggies winning 5, drawing four and losing just one.
Chelsea has just one win in the last five Premier League matches.

Dafabet Odds

Spread

Chelsea to win: 1.40
Draw: 5.02
West Brom to: 8.65

Total

OVER 2.5: 1.80
UNDER 2.5: 2.11

What to Watch For

Rodriguez Leading the Way: Jay Rodriguez is West Brom’s top scorer this season with eight goals across all competitions thus far.

Rodriguez is projected to finish Monday’s match with at least one shot attempted; he has just a 9.6 percent chance of finding the back of the net. He does project to have the most shots on goal though for the Albion.

Strong Starts but Poor Finishes: West Brom have lost more points (18) from leading positions than any other Premier League team this season.

The average score in sims for this match were 1.87-0.48 in favor of Chelsea, basically projecting a score of 2-0.

Playing for Survival: Albion boss-man Alan Pardew replaced Tony Pulis back in November, but the the Baggies have won just three times in the Premier League this season.

Analyst’s Pick

UNDER 2.5 at 2.11.

Not only is this a four-star AccuScore hot trend, the probabilities make the pick very appealing. The 2.11 odds indicate a 40 percent chance of happening; the total score stays UNDER 2.5 in about 58 percent of simulations.

The simulations would have listed the odds at 1.8, providing some value on the 2.11 listed by Dafabet.

Category: Football